Box Office Predictions/Results Thread

[Space Cop The Dandy Find all posts View Profile Close Space Cop]

^That's impressive to do it twice in a row.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

^That's impressive to do it twice in a row.

Yes, and Part II was always expected to drop, so it's doing respectable business all things considered.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Fantastic numbers for Hustlers. Also while It's second weekend drop is respectable given how well it did Thursday, Deadline is overestimating its Saturday drop.

https://deadline.com/2019/09/hustler...ce-1202733682/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY(VS. PREV FRI) 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 It Chapter Two NL/WB 4,570 $12.8M (-65%) $40.5M (-55%) $153.5M 2
2 Hustlers STX 3,250 $13.1M $32.1M $32.1M 1
3 Angel Has Fallen LG/Mil 3,076 (-153) $1.2M (-29%) $4.2M (-29%) $60.2M 4
4 Good Boys Uni 2,736 (-457) $1.1M (-30%) $4.1M (-24%) $73.1M 5
5 Lion King Dis 2,365 (-245) $836K (-16%) $3.6M (-16%) $534M 9
6 Overcomer Sony 2,293 (+140) $750K (-27%) $2.68M (-27%) $28.9M 4
7 Hobbs & Shaw Uni 2,050 (-249) $680K (-28%) $2.64M (-30%) $168.1M 7
8 The Goldfinch WB 2,542 $870K $2.62M $2.62M 1
9 Scary Stories… CBS/LG 1,494 (-607) $505K (-17%) $1.9M (-19%) $64.6M 6
10 Peanut Butter Falcon RSA 1,490 (+180) $538K (-14%) $1.83M (-13%) $14.9M 6

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Great for Hustlers. Also It Two's second weekend drop was a lot better then I expected. Looks like the supposed Friday The 13th weekend bump continued into the weekend fully.

https://deadline.com/2019/09/hustler...ce-1202733682/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK

1
It Chapter Two NL/WB 4,570 $12.8M $17.4M $10.4M $40.7M (-55%) $153.8M 2

2
Hustlers STX 3,250 $13.1M $12.2M $7.9M $33.2M $33.2M 1

3
Angel Has Fallen Mill/LG 3,076 (-153) $1.2M $2M $1.2M $4.4M (-27%) $60.4M 4

4
Good Boys Uni 2,736 (-457) $1.1M $1.9M $1.1M $4.2M (-22%) $73.3M 5

5
The Lion King Dis 2,365 (-245) $836K $1.7M $965K $3.6M (-18%) $534M 9

6
Hobbs & Shaw Uni 2,050 (-249) $690K $1.3M $740K $2.77M (-27%) $168.3M 7

7
Overcomer Sony 2,293 (+140) $750 $1.1M $830K $2.7M (-26%) $29M 4

8
The Goldfinch WB 2,542 $870K $1.1M $665K $2.6M $2.6M 1

9
Peanut Butter Falcon RSA 1,490 (+180) $535K $830K $556K $1.9M (-10%) $15M 6

10
Dora Par 1,348 (-44) $337K $865K $648K $1.85M (-21%) $56.7M 6

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (September 20 - 22).

1. Downtown Abbey - 23m
2. Hustlers - 19.3m
3. Ad Astra - 19m
4. Rambo - 18.5m
5. It Chapter Two - 17.8m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Great for Downton Abbey, I could see it potentially legging out to 95m, especially given its older audience. Also decent for Rambo, and a good drop for Hustlers. Ad Astra's opening weekend looks okay, but given its 80m price-tag, I'm not sure it'll recoup its budget.

https://deadline.com/2019/09/downton...ce-1202739525/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY(VS. PREV FRI) 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Downton Abbey Focus 3,079 $13.8M $31M $31M 1
2 Ad Astra Fox/Dis 3,460 $7.1M $19.1M $19.1M 1
3 Rambo: Last Blood Mill/LG 3,618 $7.1M $18.3M $18.3M 1
4 Hustlers STX 3,525 (+275) $5.4M (-59%) $17.5M (-47%) $63.1M 2
5 It Chapter 2 NL/WB 4,156 (-414) $4.8M (-62%) $15.4M (-61%) $177.3M 3
6 Lion King Dis 1,978 (-387) $597K (-29%) $2.58M (-28%) $537.6M 10
7 Good Boys Uni 2,025 (-711) $733K (-38%) $2.57M (-39%) $77.3M 6
8 Angel Has Fallen Mill/LG 2,505 (-571) $660K (-47%) $2.4M (-47%) $64.7M 5
9 Overcomer Sony 1,818 (-475) $405K (-46%) $1.48M (-46%) $31.5M 5
10 Hobbs & Shaw Uni 1,391 (-659) $360K (-48%) $1.46M (-48%) $170.6M 8

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Great for Downton Abbey, fine for Rambo, and okay for Ad Astra. Everything else that wasn't The Goldfinch had solid drops, too. After months of "meh numbers", the box office is back to be eventful again.

https://deadline.com/2019/09/downton...ce-1202739525/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Downton Abbey Focus 3,079 $13.8M $9.6M $7.6M $31M $31M 1
2 Ad Astra Fox/Dis 3,460 $7.1M $7.3M $4.7M $19.2M $19.2M 1
3 Rambo: Last Blood Mill/LG 3,618 $7.1M $6.9M $4.9M $19M $19M 1
4 It Chapter Two NL/WB 4,156 (-414) $4.8M $7.8M $4.7M $17.2M (-57%) $179.1M 3
5 Hustlers STX 3,525 (+275) $5.4M $7M $4.6K $17M
(-49%) $62.6M 2
6 Lion King Dis 1,978 (-387) $597K $1.2M $697K $2.57M (-30%) $537.6M 10
7 Good Boys Uni 2,025 (-711) $730K $1.1M $630K $2.5M (-41%) $77.3M 6
8 Angel Has Fallen Mill/LG 2,505 (-571) $658K $1M $649K $2.4M (-47%) $64.7M 5
9 Overcomer Sony 1,818 (-475) $405K $645K $450K $1.5M (-45%) $31.6M 5
10 Hobbs & Shaw Uni 1,391 (-659) $360K $700K $400K $1.46M (-48%) $170.6M 8

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (September 27 - 29).

1. Abominable - 18m
2. Downton Abbey - 17m
3. Ad Astra - 9m
4. Hustlers - 8.7m
5. Rambo Last Blood - 8.3m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Meh for Abominable. Also that's a much bigger drop for Downtown Abbey then I was expecting, still decent and mostly good holds all-around, not surprising given how barren the weekend seems to be in general.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/

1 - Abominable Uni. $5,690,000 - - 4,242 $1,341 $5,690,000 1
2 1 Downton Abbey Focus $4,380,000 +66% -68% 3,390 $1,292 $48,389,850 8
3 2 Hustlers STX $3,660,000 +151% -33% 3,508 $1,043 $72,824,711 15
4 3 Ad Astra Fox $2,985,000 +141% -58% 3,460 $863 $28,367,600 8
5 5 It: Chapter Two WB (NL) $2,850,000 +201% -41% 3,611 $789 $186,371,049 22
6 4 Rambo: Last Blood LGF $2,340,000 +123% -67% 3,618 $647 $26,915,810 8
7 - Judy RAtt. $900,000 - - 461 $1,952 $900,000 1
8 6 Good Boys Uni. $590,000 +188% -20% 1,503 $393 $78,959,855 43
9 7 Angel has Fallen LGF $455,000 +127% -33% 1,652 $275 $66,104,033 36
10 8 The Lion King (2019) BV $385,000 +163% -35% 1,691 $228 $538,807,662 71
11 12 Fast & Furious Presents: Hobbs & Shaw Uni. $310,000 +228% -13% 1,100 $282 $171,366,465 57

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Pretty low-key weekend in general. Abominable did okay, and the rest of the films had middling to decent drops. Strong start for Judy though. It debuted in the top ten despite being in less then 500 theaters.

https://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

1 N Abominable Uni. $20,850,000 - 4,242 - $4,915 $20,850,000 $75 1
2 1 Downton Abbey Focus $14,500,000 -53.3% 3,390 +311 $4,277 $58,509,850 - 2
3 5 Hustlers STX $11,470,000 -31.8% 3,508 -17 $3,270 $80,634,711 $20 3
4 4 It: Chapter Two WB (NL) $10,400,000 -38.8% 3,611 -545 $2,880 $193,911,049 - 4
5 2 Ad Astra Fox $10,143,000 -46.6% 3,460 - $2,932 $35,525,600 - 2
6 3 Rambo: Last Blood LGF $8,575,000 -54.6% 3,618 - $2,370 $33,150,810 $50 2
7 N Judy RAtt. $3,091,417 - 461 - $6,706 $3,091,417 - 1
8 7 Good Boys Uni. $2,010,000 -22.4% 1,503 -522 $1,337 $80,379,855 $20 7
9 6 The Lion King (2019) BV $1,603,000 -40.1% 1,691 -287 $948 $540,025,662 $260 11
10 8 Angel has Fallen LGF $1,535,000 -36.2% 1,652 -853 $929 $67,184,033 $40 6

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (October 4 - 6).

1. The Joker - 95m
2. Abominable - 13m
3. Downton Abbey - 7.4m
4. Hustlers - 7.3m
5. It Chapter Two - 5.85m

[Andrew NDB Shot Caller Find all posts View Profile Close Andrew NDB]

1. The Joker - 95m

You think? You talking worldwide?

I'd say... 40-50 million domestic.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Solid debut for The Joker. That's an October weekend record as far as numbers go.

https://deadline.com/2019/10/joker-b...nd-1202752002/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY(VS. PREV FRI) 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Joker WB/VR/Bron 4,374 $39.8M $94M $94M 1
2 Abominable DWA/Pearl/Uni 4,248 (+6) $2.8M (-50%) $12M (-42%) $37.8M 2
3 Downton Abbey Focus 3,548 (+158) $2.5M (-43%) $8.4M (-42%) $74M 3
4 Hustlers STX 3,030 (-478) $2M (-45%) $6.2M (-46%) $91.2M 4
5 It Chapter 2 NL/WB 3,163 (-448) $1.4M (-50%) $4.9M (-52%) $201.7M 5
6 Ad Astra Fox/Dis 2,910 (-550) $1.3M (-55%) $4.4M (-56%) $43.6M 3
7 Judy RSA 1,458 (+997) $1.3M (+50%) $4.1M (+41%) $8.6M 2
8 Rambo: Last Blood Mill/LG 2,900 (-718) $1.1M (-55%) $3.9M (-55%) $40.1M 3
9 War YRF 360 $500K $1.6M $2.1M 1
10 Sye Raa… IND 310 $310K $1M $2.3M 1

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Superb for Joker. Could see it doing over 200m, which would be strong considering its budget is only estimated as being 65m.

www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/

1 N Joker (2019) WB $93,500,000 - 4,374 - $21,376 $93,500,000 - 1
2 1 Abominable Uni. $12,000,000 -41.8% 4,248 +6 $2,825 $37,833,115 $75 2
3 2 Downton Abbey Focus $8,000,000 -44.2% 3,548 +158 $2,255 $73,626,935 - 3
4 3 Hustlers STX $6,300,000 -44.7% 3,030 -478 $2,079 $91,321,880 $20 4
5 4 It: Chapter Two WB (NL) $5,355,000 -47.7% 3,163 -448 $1,693 $202,205,157 - 5
6 5 Ad Astra Fox $4,557,000 -54.5% 2,910 -550 $1,566 $43,662,768 - 3
7 7 Judy RAtt. $4,445,635 +52.4% 1,458 +997 $3,049 $8,904,078 - 2
8 6 Rambo: Last Blood LGF $3,550,000 -58.7% 2,900 -718 $1,224 $39,823,895 $50 3
9 N War (2019) Yash $1,581,000 - 305 - $5,184 $2,088,290 - 1
10 8 Good Boys Uni. $900,000 -56.5% 1,006 -497 $895 $82,042,620 $20 8

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Gemini Man numbers are predictably poor, but Joker looks to have a fantastic second weekend drop. Whoa!

https://deadline.com/2019/10/gemini-...ce-1202757855/

HUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY(VS. PREV FRI) 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Joker WB/VR/Bron 4,374 $17M $58.7M $58.7M 2
2 Addams Family MGM/UAR 4,007 $9.7M $31.5M $31.5M 1
3 Gemini Man Par/Sky 3,642 $7.5M $20M $20M 1
4 Abominable DW/Pearl/Uni 3,496 (-752) $1.7M (-39%) $7M (-41%) $48.8M 3
5 Downton Abbey Focus 3,019 (-529) $1.5M (-39%) $5M (-37%) $82.7M 4
6 Hustlers STX 2,357 (-673) $1.1M (-41%) $3.9M (-39%) $98M 5
7 Judy RSA/LD 1,627 (+169) $955k (-29%) $3.37M (-27%) $15M 3
8 It Chapter 2 NL/WB 2,303 (-860) $870K (-40%) $3.3M (-38%) $207.2M 6
9 Jexi CBS/LG/eOne 2,332 $1.1M $3.1M $3.1M 1
10 Ad Astra Fox/Dis 1,678 (-1,232) $560K (-55%) $1.9M (-55%) $47M