Box Office Predictions/Results Thread

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Predictions for the three day weekend (May 24 - 26).

1. Aladdin - 78m
2. John Wick 3 - 29m
3. Avengers Endgame - 16m
4. Detective Pikachu - 13m
5. Brightburn - 9m

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Very solid for Aladdin.

https://deadline.com/2019/05/aladdin...ce-1202621906/

1…Aladdin(Dis) 4,476 theaters, $30.8M Fri, 3-day $84.9M, 4-day, $106.5M, Wk 1

2…John Wick: Chapter 3 (LG) 3,850 theaters, $6.6M Fri (-71%), 3-day $24.2M (-57%), 4-day $30.2M, Total $106.8M/Wk 2

3…Avengers: Endgame(Dis) 3,810 (-410) theaters, $4.1M Fri (-44%), 3-day $16.6M (-44%), 4-day $21.5M, Total $802.8M/Wk 5

4…Pokemon Detective Pikachu (WB/Leg) 3824 (-424) theaters, $3.3M Fri (-48%), 3-day $13.5M (-46%), 4-day $16.1M, Total $118.9M/Wk 3

5…Brightburn (Sony) 2,607 theaters, $3M Fri, 3-day $8M, 4-day $9.7M/Wk 1

6…. Booksmart (UA/ANNP), 2,505 theaters, $2.6M Fri, 3-day $7M, 4-day $8.6M/Wk 1

7…. The Hustle (UA/MGM) 2,377 (-700) theaters, $1M Fri (-41%), 3-day $4.3M (-30%), 4-day $5.5M, Total $31.5M/Wk 3

8…. Dog’s Journey (Uni/Amblin) 3,279 (+12) theaters, $1.1M (-56%) Fri, 3-day $4.1M (-49%), 4-day $5.4M, Total $16.2M/Wk 2

9… The Intruder (Sony) 1,612 (-619) theaters, $625K (-43%), 3-day $2.4M (-23%), 4-day $3.1M, Total $32.8M/Wk 4

10… Long Shot (LG), 1,358 (-752) theaters, $409K Fri (-58%), 3-day $1.6M (-52%), 4-day $2M, Total $29.1M/Wk 4

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Strong Saturday increase for Aladdin.

https://deadline.com/2019/05/aladdin...ce-1202621906/

1…Aladdin(Dis) 4,476 theaters, $31M Fri, /$31M Sat/3-day $89.4M, 4-day, $112.7M, Wk 1

2…John Wick: Chapter 3 (LG) 3,850 theaters, $6.6M Fri /$9M Sat/ 3-day $24.1M (-58%), 4-day $30.1M, Total $106.7M/Wk 2

3…Avengers: Endgame(Dis) 3,810 (-410) theaters, $4.1M Fri /$6.3M Sat/3-day $16.9M (-44%), 4-day $21.9M, Total $803.2M/Wk 5

4…Pokemon Detective Pikachu (WB/Leg) 3824 (-424) theaters, $3.3M Fri /$5M Sat/ 3-day $13.1M (-48%), 4-day $17.1M, Total $119.9M/Wk 3

5…Brightburn (Sony) 2,607 theaters, $3M Fri/$2.4M Sat/ 3-day $8.5M, 4-day $8.5-$9M/Wk 1

6…. Booksmart (UA/ANNP), 2,505 theaters, $2.5M Fri/$2.1M Sat/3-day $6.8M, 4-day $7.8M/Wk 1

7… Dog’s Journey (Uni/Amblin) 3,279 (+12) theaters, $1.1M Fri/$1.5M Sat/, 3-day $4M (-50%), 4-day $5.2M, Total $16M/Wk 2

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Predictions for this weekend (May 31 - June 2).

1. Godzilla - 63m
2. Aladdin - 45m
3. Rocketman - 28m
4. Ma - 18m
5. John Wick Chapter 3 - 12.27m

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Quite poor for Godzilla. I guess it's really paying for the sins of how poorly received the first film was.

https://deadline.com/2019/06/godzill...ce-1202624876/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Godzilla…Monsters WB/Leg 4,108 $19.6M $49.5M $49.5M 1
2 Aladdin Dis 4,476 $11.9M (-62%) $44.5M (-51%) $187.2M 2
3 Rocketman Par 3,610 $9.2M $22.9M $22.9M 1
4 Ma Uni/Blum 2,808 $7.2M $18.2M $18.2M 1
5 John Wick 3 LG 3,604 (-246) $3M (-54%) $10.5M (-57%) $125.1M 3
6 Avengers: Endgame Dis 3,105 (-705) $2M (-52%) $7.5M (-56%) $815.2M 6
7 Pokemon… WB/Leg 3,147 (-677) $1.8M (-47%) $6.7M
(-50%) $130.6M 4
8 Booksmart UA/Annap 2,518 (+13) $975K (-61%) $3.7M (-47%) $14.7M 2
9 Brightburn Sony 2,607 $715K (-76%) $2.4M
(-69%) $14.3M 2
10 The Hustle UA/MGM 1,407 (-970) $409K (-62%) $1.3M
(-61%) $33.2M 4

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Really just pathetic. At least Aladdin had a solid hold, I guess, especially for a memorial day release.

https://deadline.com/2019/06/godzill...ce-1202624876/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Godzilla: King… WB/Leg 4,108 $19.7M $16.3M $13M $49M $49M 1
2 Aladdin Dis 4,476 $11.9M $17.3M $13.1M $42.3M (-53%) $185M 2
3 Rocketman Par 3,610 $9.2M $9.3M $6.5M $25M $25M 1
4 Ma UNI/Blum 2,808 $7.2M $6.55M $4.4M $18.2M $18.2M 1
5 John Wick 3 LG 3,604 (-246) $3M $4.6M $3.5M $11.1M (-55%) $125.7M 3
6 Avengers: Endgame Dis 3,105 (-705) $2M $3.3M $2.3M $7.8M (-55%) $815.5M 6
7 Pokemon… WB/Leg 3,147 (-677) $1.8M $2.8M $2M $6.7M
(-50%) $130.6M 4
8 Booksmart UA/Annap 2,518 (+13) $975K $1.3M $1M $3.3M (-52%) $14.4M 2
9 Brightburn Sony 2,607 $715K $975K $625K $2.3M (-70%) $14.2M 2
10 The Hustle UA/MGM 1,407 (-970) $409K $540K $351K $1.3M (-64%) $33.1M 4

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Predictions for this weekend (June 7 - 9).

1. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 54m
2. Dark Phoenix - 41m
3. Aladdin - 25m
4. Godzilla: King of The Monsters - 19m
5. Rocketman - 15.3m

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Pathetic weekend. Two sequels topped the box office, and they did poor numbers. Can Toy Story 4 please just get released already?

https://deadline.com/2019/06/dark-ph...ce-1202628724/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Secret Life Of Pets 2 Uni/Ill 4,561 $16.3M $46.2M $46.2M 1
2 Dark Phoenix Dis/Fox 3,721 $14M $33.9M $33.9M 1
3 Aladdin Dis 3,805 (-671) $6.7M (-43%) $24.6M (-43%) $210.1M 3
4 Godzilla..Monsters WB/Leg 4,108 $4.2M (-78%) $14.4M (-70%) $77.4M 2
5 Rocketman Par 3,610 $3.9M (-57%) $13.3M (-48%) $49.8M 2
6 John Wick 3 LG 2,776 (-828) $2M (-32%) $7.4M (-33%) $138.7M 4
7 Ma Uni/Blum 2,816 (+8) $2.2M (-69%) $7.1M
(-61%) $32M 2
8 Avengers: Endgame Dis 2,121 (-984) $1.4M (-33%) $5.5M (-31%) $825.1M 7
9 Pokemon… WB/Leg 2,161 (-986) $887K (-52%) $3.3M
(-52%) $137.7M 5
10 Booksmart UA/ANNP 1,134 (1,384) $451K (-54%) $1.6M
(-53%) $17.8M 3

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Sad, sad weekend. At least Rocketman had a solid drop, I guess.

https://deadline.com/2019/06/dark-ph...ce-1202628724/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Secret Life Of Pets 2 Uni/Ill 4,561 $16.4M $17M $13.6M $47.1M $48M 1
2 Dark Phoenix Dis/Fox 3,721 $14M $10.8M $8.2M $33M $33M 1
3 Aladdin Dis 3,805 (-671) $7M $9.7M $7.7M $24.5M (-43%) $232.3M 3
4 Godzilla: King… UNI/Blum 4,108 $4.2M $6.3M $5M $15.5M (-67%) $78.6M 2
5 Rocketman Par 3,610 $3.7M $5.7M $4.5M $14M (-45%) $50.4M 2
6 Ma Uni/Blum 2,816 (+8) $2.3M $3.1M $2.3M $7.8M (-57%) $32.7M 2
7 John Wick 3 LG 2,776 (-828) $1.9M $3.1M $2.3M $7.4M
(-33%) $138.6M 4
8 Avengers: Endgame Dis 2,121 (-984) $1.2M $2M $1.5M $4.8M (-40%) $824.3M 7
9 Pokemon… Sony 2,161 (-986) $855K $1.25M $875K $2.98M (-57%) $137.4M 5
10 Booksmart UA/MGM 1,134 (-1,384) $451K $643K $483K $1.5M (-52%) $17.8M 3

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Predictions for this weekend (June 14 - 16).

1. Men in Black: International - 25m
2. The Secret Life of Pets 2 - 24.4m
3. Aladdin - 16m
4. Shaft - 13m
5. Dark Phoenix - 11m

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Another really bad weekend. That Dark Phoenix drop is extremely brutal, and even Pets' is oof worthy.

https://deadline.com/2019/06/men-in-...ce-1202632705/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Men In Black: Int.. Sony 4,224 $10.4M $26.3M $26.3M 1
2 Secret Life Of Pets 2 Uni/Ill 4,564 (+3) $6.9M (-58%) $23.7M (-49%) $91.9M 2
3 Aladdin Dis 3,556 (-249) $4.7M (-32%) $17.1M (-30%) $263.8M 4
4 Dark Phoenix Dis/Fox 3,721 $2.4M (-83%) $8.3M (-74%) $51M 2
5 Rocketman Par 3,021 (-589) $2.3M (-38%) $8.3M (-40%) $65.6M 3
6 Godzilla…Monsters WB/Leg 3,207 (-901) $2.7M $7.9M (-48%) $93.4M 3
7 Shaft NL/WB 2,952 $2.7M $7.1M $7.1M 1
8 John Wick 3 LG 2,033 (-743) $1.4M (-26%) $5.6M (-25%) $148.1M 5
9 Late Night Amz 2,218 (+2214) $1.66M (+1737%) $4.7M
(+1811%) $4.9M 2
10 Ma Uni/Blum 1,794 (1,022) $1.1M (-51%) $3.8M
(-51%) $40.5M 3

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B-b-b-bad weekend!!! Save us Woody!

https://deadline.com/2019/06/men-in-...ce-1202632705/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Men In Black: Int… Sony 4,224 $10.4M $9.4M $8.7M $28.5M $28.5M 1
2 Secret Life Of Pets 2 Ill/Uni 4,564 (+3) $6.9M $9.4M $7.5M $23.8M (-49%) $92M 2
3 Aladdin Dis 3,556 (-249) $4.7M $6.5M $5.4M $16.7M (-32%) $263.4M 4
4 Dark Phoenix Dis/Fox 3,721 $2.3M $3.3M $3.3M $9M (-73%) $51.7M 2
5 Rocketman Par 3,021 (-589) $2.3M $3.7M $2.8M $8.8M (-36%) $66.1M 3
6 Shaft NL/WB 2,952 $2.7M $2.9M $2.6M $8.3M $8.3M 1
7 Godzilla..King WB/Leg 3,207 (-901) $2.1M $3.2M $2.7M $8.1M
(-48%) $93.6M 3
8 John Wick 3 LG 2,033 (-743) $1.4M $2.3M $2.3M $6.1M (-18%) $148.6M 5
9 Late Night AMZ 2,220 (+2,216) $1.9M $1.9M $1.3M $5.1M (+1986%) $5.4M 2
10 Ma Uni/Blum 1,794 (-1,022) $1.1M $1.4M $1M $3.6M (-54%) $40.3M 3

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Well Toy Story 4 fell a bit short of tracking and Disney's estimation. Hopefully it'll have a decent Saturday increase, because it's looking to fall short of Toy Story 3's opening weekend, adjusted. Still, it's not bad numbers at all.

https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-sto...ay-1202635964/

THUMB RANK FILM DIS. SCREENS (CHG) FRIDAY 3-DAY TOTAL WK
1 Toy Story 4 Dis 4,575 $47.6M $123.7M $123.7M 1
2 Child’s Play UA/Orion 3,007 $6.1M $15.1M $15.1M 1
3 Aladdin Dis 3,435 (-121) $4M (-17%) $13.8M (-20%) $289.1M 5
4 Men In Black: Int… Sony 4,224 $3.2M (-69%) $10.9M (-64%) $52.8M 2
5 Secret…Pets 2 Ill/Uni 3,804 (-760) $3.1M (-54%) $10.7M (-56%) $118M 3
6 Rocketman Par 2,414 (-607) $1.6M (-32%) $5.8M (-38%) $77.4M 4
7 John Wick 3 LG 1,607 (-426) $1.1M (-22%) $4.1M (-36%) $156M 6
8 Godzilla..Monsters WB/Leg 2,368 (-839) $1M (-53%) $3.7M (-57%) $102.3M 4
9 Dark Phoenix Dis/Fox 2,054 (-1,667) $1M (-57%) $3.6M (-61%) $60.1M 3
10 Anna LG/Eur 2,114 $1.3M $3.46M $3.46M 1
11 Shaft NL/WB 2,952 $986K (-63%) $3.3M (-63%) $15.7M 2

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It's decent for TS4 to be honest, especially given that it's the fourth film in a franchise. Oof at Anna!

https://deadline.com/2019/06/toy-sto...ay-1202635964/

THUMB RANK PIC DIS SCRS(CG) FRI SAT SUN 3-DAY TOTAL WK

1
Toy Story 4 Dis 4,575 $47.4M $39.6M $31M $118M $118M 1

2
Child’s Play UA/Orion 3,007 $6.1M $4.5M $3.4M $14M $14M 1

3
Aladdin Dis 3,435 (-121) $4M $4.9M $3.2M $12.2M (-30%) $287.5M 5

4
Men In Black 4 Sony 4,224 $3.3M $4.3M $3.2M $10.8M (-64%) $52.7M 2

5
Secret Life Of Pets 2 Ill/Uni 3,804 (-760) $3.2M $4M $3.1M $10.3M (-58%) $117.6M 3

6
Rocketman Par 2,414 (-607) $1.6M $2.3M $1.7M $5.6M
(-40%) $77.3M 4

7
John Wick 3 LG 1,607 (-426) $1.1M $1.7M $1.3M $4.1M
(-36%) $156M 6

8
Godzilla: King… WB/Leg 2,368 (-839) $1M $1.6M $1.1M $3.7M (-58%) $102.3M 4

9
Dark Phoenix Dis/Fox 2,054 (-1,667) $1M $1.4M $1.2M $3.6M (-62%) $60.1M 3

10
Shaft NL/WB 2,952 $1M $1.4M $1.1M $3.55M (-60%) $15.9M 2

11
Anna LG/Eur 2,114 $1.3M $1.2M $930K $3.5M $3.5M 1

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Predictions for this weekend (June 28 - 30).

1. Toy Story 4 - 59m
2. Annabelle Come Home - 21m
3. Yesterday - 12m
4. Aladdin - 9m
5. The Secret Life of Pets - 6.7m