Box Office Predictions/Results Thread

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Huge for Bad Boys. Big Willie and Martin are really back. As for Dolittle, well it could have been way worse, still a huge flop.

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

1 N Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $23,500,000 3,775 $6,225 $23,500,000 1
2 N Dolittle Universal $6,300,000 4,155 $1,516 $6,300,000 1
3 (1) 1917 Universal $6,200,000 +103% -56% 3,612 $1,717 $60,816,984 24
4 (5) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $2,175,000 +199% -35% 3,323 $655 $263,087,975 36
5 (3) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $1,978,000 +84% -49% 3,058 $647 $485,623,801 29
6 (6) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $1,650,000 +145% -55% 2,457 $672 $15,262,643 24
7 (4) Little Women Sony Pictures $1,630,000 +65% -25% 2,503 $651 $80,121,052 24
8 (7) Like a Boss Paramount Pi… $1,210,000 +120% -69% 3,081 $393 $14,293,588 8
9 (8) Knives Out Lionsgate $1,150,000 +145% -30% 1,667 $690 $142,827,387 52
- (9) Underwater 20th Century… $954,000 +123% -62% 2,791 $342 $10,174,707 8

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Big numbers, even with Dolittle being a turkey. Bad Boys For Life broke the opening weekend record in January too.

https://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart

1 N Bad Boys For Life Sony Pict… $59,175,000 3,775 $15,675 $59,175,000 1
2 N Dolittle Universal $22,530,000 4,155 $5,422 $22,530,000 1
3 (1) 1917 Universal $22,140,000 -40% 3,612 +178 $6,130 $76,756,984 4
4 (3) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pict… $9,565,000 -32% 3,323 -581 $2,878 $270,477,975 6
5 (2) Star Wars: The Rise o… Walt Disney $8,374,000 -45% 3,058 -1,221 $2,738 $492,019,801 5
6 (5) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $6,000,000 -38% 2,457 +82 $2,442 $19,612,643 4
- (6) Little Women Sony Pict… $5,910,000 -24% 2,503 -713 $2,361 $84,401,052 4
- (4) Like a Boss Paramount… $3,840,000 -62% 3,081 +3 $1,246 $16,923,588 2
- (8) Frozen II Walt Disney $3,717,000 -37% 2,080 -575 $1,787 $464,868,690 9
- (7) Underwater 20th Cent… $3,560,000 -49% 2,791 n/c $1,276 $12,780,707 2

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (January 24 - 26).

1. Bad Boys For Life - 29m
2. 1917 - 13.59m
3. Dolittle - 12.3m
4. The Gentlemen - 9m
5. The Turning - 7.3m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

That's actually pretty okay for The Gentlemen, considering STX only bought it for 7m. Also 1917 and Bad Boys are so close to 100m.

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

1 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $8,925,000 +154% -62% 3,775 $2,364 $95,569,165 8
2 (2) 1917 Universal $4,020,000 +127% -35% 3,937 $1,021 $92,103,309 31
3 N The Gentlemen STX Entertai… $3,720,000 2,165 $1,718 $3,720,000 1
4 (3) Dolittle Universal $2,740,000 +206% -56% 4,155 $659 $34,924,730 8
5 N The Turning Universal $2,510,000 2,571 $976 $2,510,000 1
6 (6) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $1,705,000 +234% -22% 3,121 $546 $277,250,800 43
7 (5) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $1,262,000 +113% -36% 2,800 $451 $497,672,140 36
8 (4) Little Women Sony Pictures $1,200,000 +87% -27% 2,528 $475 $90,227,401 31
9 (7) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $1,085,000 +121% -34% 2,408 $451 $24,108,382 31
- (12) Frozen II Walt Disney $486,000 +146% -34% 1,750 $278 $467,749,568 64

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Strong numbers in general. Bad Boys For Life and 1917 become our first and second films of 2020 retrospectively to gross over 100m.

https://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart

1 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pict… $34,000,000 -46% 3,775 n/c $9,007 $120,644,165 2
2 (2) 1917 Universal $15,800,000 -28% 3,937 +325 $4,013 $103,883,309 5
3 (3) Dolittle Universal $12,500,000 -43% 4,155 n/c $3,008 $44,684,730 2
4 N The Gentlemen STX Enter… $11,030,000 2,165 $5,095 $11,030,000 1
5 (4) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pict… $7,900,000 -19% 3,121 -202 $2,531 $283,445,800 7
6 N The Turning Universal $7,300,000 2,571 $2,839 $7,300,000 1
7 (5) Star Wars: The Rise o… Walt Disney $5,173,000 -38% 2,800 -258 $1,848 $501,583,140 6
8 (6) Little Women Sony Pict… $4,700,000 -26% 2,528 +25 $1,859 $93,727,401 5
9 (7) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $4,055,000 -30% 2,408 -49 $1,684 $27,078,382 5
10 (8) Knives Out Lionsgate $3,650,000 -15% 1,677 +10 $2,177 $151,865,922 9

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (January 31 - February 2nd).

1. Bad Boys For Life - 18.3m
2. 1917 - 10.5m
3. Dolittle - 6.7m
4. The Gentlemen - 5.8m
5. Jumanji: The Next Level - 5.4m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Terrible for The Rhythm Section. At least Gretel & Hansel seems to have been made on a dirt cheap budget. Great holds for most of the holdovers, though. If 1917 wins, it'll be the highest grossing best picture winner since Return of The King.

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

1 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $5,185,000 +163% -42% 3,705 $1,399 $135,561,531 15
2 (2) 1917 Universal $2,810,000 +126% -30% 3,987 $705 $112,396,389 38
3 N Gretel & Hansel United Artists $2,300,000 3,007 $765 $2,300,000 1
- (4) Dolittle Universal $1,960,000 +208% -29% 3,750 $523 $49,478,820 15
- (3) The Gentlemen STX Entertai… $1,850,000 +128% -50% 2,675 $692 $16,281,089 8
- (6) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $1,480,000 +246% -14% 2,945 $503 $286,697,153 50
- N The Rhythm Section Paramount Pi… $1,155,000 3,049 $379 $1,155,000 1
- (9) The Turning Universal $920,000 +184% -63% 2,571 $358 $9,575,440 8
- (5) Little Women Sony Pictures $875,000 +81% -27% 2,301 $380 $96,630,632 38
- (7) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $852,000 +111% -32% 2,202 $387 $504,715,021 43

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Congrats to The Rhythm Section. It finally broke Hoot's record for the worst opening weekend record for a movie in more than 3000 theaters. Also Little Woman's inching close to 100m.

https://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart

1 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pict… $17,675,000 -48% 3,705 -70 $4,771 $148,051,531 3
2 (2) 1917 Universal $9,660,000 -39% 3,987 +50 $2,423 $119,246,389 6
- (3) Dolittle Universal $7,700,000 -37% 3,750 -405 $2,053 $55,218,820 3
- (4) The Gentlemen STX Enter… $6,010,000 -44% 2,675 +510 $2,247 $20,441,089 2
- (5) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pict… $6,000,000 -22% 2,945 -176 $2,037 $291,217,153 8
- (7) Star Wars: The Rise o… Walt Disney $3,193,000 -43% 2,202 -598 $1,450 $507,056,021 7
- (6) The Turning Universal $3,050,000 -56% 2,571 n/c $1,186 $11,705,440 2
- (8) Little Women Sony Pict… $3,015,000 -35% 2,301 -227 $1,310 $98,770,632 6
- N The Rhythm Section Paramount… $2,800,000 3,049 $918 $2,800,000 1
- (10) Knives Out Lionsgate $2,750,000 -22% 1,555 -122 $1,768 $155,734,764 10

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Predictions for this weekend (February 7 - 9).

1. Birds of Prey - 40m
2. Bad Boys 3 - 11m
3. 1917 - 6.91m
4. Dolittle - 5m
5. Jumanji: The Next Level - 4.08m

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

Absolutely pathetic for BOP. Judging by its overseas total so far, this might make less then Dark Phoenix WW.

https://www.the-numbers.com/daily-box-office-chart

1 (-) Bird of Prey Northern Art… $13,025,000 4,236 $3,075 $13,025,000 8,527
2 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pictures $3,030,000 +166% -42% 3,530 $858 $157,352,207 22
3 (2) 1917 Universal $2,320,000 +127% -17% 3,548 $654 $125,862,909 45
4 (4) Dolittle Universal $1,470,000 +216% -25% 3,462 $425 $58,769,985 22
5 (5) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pictures $1,240,000 +237% -18% 2,729 $454 $294,170,411 57
- (3) The Gentlemen STX Entertai… $1,200,000 +119% -35% 2,557 $469 $23,871,981 15
- (7) Little Women Sony Pictures $615,000 +79% -30% 1,805 $341 $100,963,143 45
- (8) Star Wars: The Rise of Sk… Walt Disney $524,000 +95% -39% 1,746 $300 $508,845,478 50
- (10) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $435,000 +107% -36% 1,315 $331 $32,285,112 45
- (13) The Turning Universal $400,000 +114% -57% 1,848 $216 $13,011,330 15

[Trey Strain Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Trey Strain]

Is it possible that moviegoers aren't dying to see movies that are written, directed by and starring women, and that show girls kicking ass? If I were a producer, I'd at least consider that possibility.

[Parrylakks Neko Samurai Find all posts View Profile Close Parrylakks]

It's more likely that the lesson will be that R rated films from PG-13 franchises should be reserved for BD extended cuts, as they previously have been. They need to keep the ratings down if they started there in order to get the money from the kids (and the parents thereof) who are part of the audience they've built.

[Mister.Weirdo Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Mister.Weirdo]

It's doing even worse overseas. Might not even hit 200m WW at this rate. WNB truly dropped the ball here.

https://www.the-numbers.com/weekend-box-office-chart

1 N Birds of Prey (And th… Warner Bros. $33,250,000 4,236 $7,849 $33,250,000 1
2 (1) Bad Boys For Life Sony Pict… $12,005,000 -32% 3,530 -175 $3,401 $166,327,207 4
3 (2) 1917 Universal $9,000,000 -5% 3,548 -439 $2,537 $132,542,909 7
4 (3) Dolittle Universal $6,660,000 -12% 3,462 -288 $1,924 $63,959,985 4
5 (5) Jumanji: The Next Level Sony Pict… $5,530,000 -8% 2,729 -216 $2,026 $298,460,411 9
- (6) The Gentlemen STX Enter… $4,180,000 -25% 2,557 -118 $1,635 $26,851,981 3
- (8) Little Women Sony Pict… $2,325,000 -24% 1,805 -496 $1,288 $102,673,143 7
- (12) Just Mercy Warner Bros. $1,540,000 -29% 1,315 -492 $1,171 $33,390,112 7
- (9) The Turning Universal $1,540,000 -49% 1,848 -723 $833 $14,151,330 3
- (10) The Rhythm Section

[Trey Strain Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Trey Strain]

Fortunately they learned a lesson from the disaster of Green Lantern and kept the budget down, so it's going to earn a profit.

[Trey Strain Guardian of the Universe Find all posts View Profile Close Trey Strain]

Which raises a point. The talk is always about how much a movie earns. But the real issue is how much it earns versus how much it cost to make and publicize.